The Cubs will likely be favored in every series they play on the way to the World Series, and heavy favorites to win it all. And by favorites, that’s around a 1-in-4 chance of winning. Or if you’re a Cubs fan, a 3-in-4 chance of losing.
Even taking into account all of the Cubs advantages — the superstar lineup, stacked pitching staff, and homefield advantage through the National League playoffs — it’s more likely than not that Cubs fans will be disappointed again this year. Not because of goats or black cats, but probability.
To test that out, we built a simulation you can run yourself. At the click of a button you can play your own version of the MLB playoffs as many times as you want.
